Deciphering robust tokenomics requires a shrewd eye. Forget fluffy white papers; dig deep. Here’s a seasoned trader’s perspective on 10 crucial factors and red flags:
1. Use Case: Beyond the hype, analyze the *real-world* utility. Is the token essential to the project’s function or merely a speculative instrument? Look for network effects—does increased adoption directly benefit token holders?
2. Total Supply: A massive total supply dilutes value. Consider the potential for future inflation. Compare it to the market cap of established competitors to gauge relative valuation.
3. Circulating Supply (Float): The actual number of tokens in circulation directly impacts price volatility and liquidity. A low float can lead to extreme price swings, while a high float might signal weaker demand.
4. Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): This reveals the maximum potential market cap if all tokens are released. Compare FDV to current market cap; a significant disparity points to potential future dilution and price pressure.
5. Insider Allocation: Large allocations to founders and early investors raise concerns about potential dumping and manipulation. Scrutinize vesting schedules to understand the timeline of token releases.
6. Token Distribution: A heavily concentrated distribution suggests high risk. Ideally, tokens should be broadly distributed amongst users, developers, and investors to foster a robust ecosystem. Look out for overly large allocations to marketing, leaving little for actual project development.
7. Vesting Schedule: Understand the release schedule of tokens. A prolonged vesting schedule mitigates the risk of early dumping, while a rapid release can signal a lack of long-term commitment from the project team.
8. Competition: Analyze competing projects. Are there better alternatives with stronger tokenomics or more compelling use cases? A saturated market drastically reduces the potential for returns.
9. Token Utility and Burn Mechanisms: Does the token have a real utility in the ecosystem? Are there burn mechanisms in place to reduce the circulating supply over time? This reduces inflation pressure.
10. Team Transparency & Track Record: Research the team behind the project. Are they experienced and do they have a proven track record? Lack of transparency is a major red flag.
- Red Flag: Unclear or overly complex tokenomics. Simplicity is key.
- Red Flag: Promises of unrealistic returns or guarantees.
- Red Flag: Lack of a detailed whitepaper or roadmap.
- Red Flag: Aggressive marketing tactics focusing on hype rather than substance.
What is an example of a good tokenomics?
Imagine a digital storage system, like Google Drive, but powered by a cryptocurrency called Filecoin. Filecoin’s tokenomics – how its tokens are used and distributed – is a good example. You use Filecoin tokens (FIL) to pay for storing your data on the network. People who provide storage space also get paid in FIL.
Key elements of Filecoin’s tokenomics:
- Storage payments: Users pay in FIL to store data.
- Storage providers’ rewards: People offering storage earn FIL.
- Governance: FIL holders can vote on important network decisions, shaping Filecoin’s future.
This creates a system where the token’s value is tied to the network’s usefulness. More data stored = more demand for FIL = potentially higher value.
Important Note: Not all tokenomics are created equal. Some projects have unclear token distributions or lack real-world utility, leading to price volatility. Always do your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.
What is the strategy of tokenomics?
Tokenomics strategy hinges on crafting a sustainable ecosystem, not just a token. It’s about designing a compelling narrative around utility, scarcity, and distribution to drive value appreciation.
Core elements include:
- Token Utility: Is there a real-world application or compelling use case driving demand beyond speculation? This is crucial for long-term viability. Look for strong network effects.
- Token Distribution: Analyze the allocation – how much goes to the team, investors, advisors, community? A heavily centralized distribution is a red flag. Consider vesting schedules and lock-ups to mitigate early dumping.
- Inflationary vs. Deflationary Model: Understanding the token’s supply mechanics is vital. Deflationary models can create scarcity and upward price pressure, but also risk creating illiquidity. Inflationary models need to be carefully balanced to avoid devaluation. Consider burn mechanisms and staking rewards.
- Tokenomics Metrics: Analyze key metrics like circulating supply, market cap, fully diluted valuation, and velocity. These indicators provide insights into the token’s potential.
Beyond the basics: Sophisticated tokenomics incorporate mechanisms to incentivize participation and network growth. Think about things like: staking rewards, governance rights, and community treasury management.
Red Flags: Watch out for vague whitepapers, unrealistic promises of returns, and opaque token distribution schemes. Due diligence is paramount.
Which crypto has 1000x potential?
The question of which crypto has 1000x potential is a popular one, and understandably so. While predicting such massive gains is inherently speculative, certain underlying factors significantly increase a coin’s chances of explosive growth. A 1000x return in 2025 requires a confluence of technological innovation, market adoption, and favorable regulatory environments.
Key Factors for 1000x Potential:
- Strong Underlying Technology: The project must offer a genuinely innovative solution, solving a real-world problem or significantly improving existing technologies. This could be in areas like scalability, security, or decentralization.
- Growing Ecosystem & Infrastructure: A vibrant community, active development team, and a robust infrastructure are crucial. This ensures the project’s longevity and adaptability to evolving market conditions.
- Real-World Utility and Adoption: A coin with practical applications and demonstrable real-world use cases has a significantly higher chance of attracting investment and driving demand.
- Unique Value Proposition: What sets this project apart from competitors? Does it offer a unique selling point that makes it indispensable?
- Decentralized Governance: A transparent and community-driven governance model fosters trust and ensures the project’s long-term viability.
EarthMeta (EMT) as a Potential Candidate:
EarthMeta (EMT), with its focus on a growing infrastructure, a unique digital twin model, and strong integration with decentralized governance, presents a compelling case. The digital twin aspect offers a significant value proposition, allowing for innovative applications across various industries. The success of this model, however, hinges on widespread adoption and seamless integration with existing systems. Further research into the specific technology, team, and roadmap is crucial before making any investment decisions.
Important Disclaimer: Investing in cryptocurrencies is inherently risky. The potential for 1000x gains also carries the risk of substantial losses. Conduct thorough due diligence and only invest what you can afford to lose. This information is not financial advice.
How do you know if a crypto project is good?
Due diligence is paramount. Don’t chase hype; dissect the fundamentals. Look beyond the slick website.
Team: Who are the developers? Are they doxxed? Check their backgrounds, previous projects, and GitHub activity. Look for a strong, experienced team with a proven track record. Red flags include anonymity and a lack of transparency.
Technology: Is the technology innovative and solving a real-world problem? Whitepapers often overpromise. Scrutinize the actual codebase if possible; look for audits by reputable firms. Understand the scalability, security, and decentralization aspects. Don’t get caught up in buzzwords like “blockchain” without understanding the underlying mechanisms.
Tokenomics: How are tokens distributed? Is there a clear token utility? Analyze the inflation rate and the total token supply. A well-designed tokenomics model is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Market Analysis: Market cap is just one metric. Consider the total addressable market (TAM) and the project’s potential for growth within that market. Analyze trading volume, chart patterns, and on-chain metrics to gauge investor sentiment and activity. Remember, past performance isn’t indicative of future results.
Community: A strong, active, and engaged community is a positive indicator. Look at social media activity, forum discussions, and developer responsiveness. A vibrant community suggests widespread adoption and support.
Regulation: Consider regulatory compliance. Projects operating in a legally grey area may pose significant risks.
Risk Tolerance: Crypto is inherently volatile. Only invest what you can afford to lose. Diversify your portfolio across different projects and asset classes to mitigate risk.
Don’t be fooled by marketing: Focus on verifiable facts and independent analysis. Beware of get-rich-quick schemes and promises of unrealistic returns.
- Thorough research is non-negotiable.
- Understand the risks.
- Never invest based on hype alone.
How do you structure tokenomics?
Tokenomics isn’t some afterthought; it’s the engine of your project. Get it wrong, and you’re building on sand. Nail it, and you’ve got a rocket ship.
Define crystal-clear project goals. What problem are you solving? What’s your value proposition? Tokenomics should directly support this, not detract from it. Don’t just chase hype; focus on real-world utility. Think beyond just speculation.
Deep market research is non-negotiable. Who’s your target audience? What are their needs and motivations? Understanding your market informs your token utility and distribution strategy. Ignore this, and you’ll struggle to find adoption.
Blockchain choice is crucial. Each platform has its strengths and weaknesses – fees, scalability, security. Choose wisely based on your project’s requirements. Don’t just pick the trendy one; prioritize functionality.
Token standard matters. ERC-20, BEP-20, SPL – each has implications for interoperability and functionality. Consider the ecosystem you want to integrate with. This impacts your reach and potential partnerships.
Token utility is king. This isn’t just about speculation; it’s about creating a robust, long-term value proposition. How does your token directly contribute to your project’s success? What are the tangible benefits for holders? Staking rewards? Governance rights? Access to exclusive features? This needs to be compelling and well-defined.
Mastering token supply dynamics is key. Inflationary vs. deflationary? Token burning mechanisms? Careful consideration of these factors is vital for long-term price stability and investor confidence. Get this wrong and you’ll risk price volatility that will scare away investors.
Strategic token distribution is paramount. Team allocation, private sales, public sales, airdrops – each requires careful planning to balance incentives and prevent early market manipulation. Transparency is essential here. Consider vesting schedules to align incentives.
Robust governance structures are essential. How will decisions be made? Who has voting rights? A well-defined governance framework fosters community engagement and long-term sustainability. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) are a powerful tool here.
How to choose a crypto project?
Choosing a crypto project isn’t about chasing the next moon shot; it’s about rigorous due diligence. Forget hype; focus on substance. Here’s how I approach it:
1. Fundamental Analysis: Beyond the Whitepaper
- Team: Who are they? Do they have a proven track record? Are they doxxed and transparent? A strong team is paramount. Look for advisors with relevant experience in the space.
- Technology: Is the underlying technology innovative and well-executed? Is it scalable, secure, and efficient? Independent audits are critical here. Don’t just read the whitepaper; understand the code.
- Use Case: Does the project solve a real-world problem? Is there genuine demand for its solution? A strong use case is vital for long-term sustainability. Consider its competitive landscape.
2. Tokenomics Deep Dive: Beyond Supply and Demand
- Token Utility: How is the token used within the ecosystem? Is it deflationary or inflationary? Understanding its role is crucial. A token without utility is just a speculative asset.
- Token Distribution: How are tokens allocated? A heavily centralized distribution can be a red flag. Look for fair and transparent distribution mechanisms.
- Staking and Governance: Does the project offer staking rewards? How does the community participate in governance? These features can influence long-term value.
3. Market Analysis and Risk: Beyond Charts
- On-Chain Metrics: Active addresses, transaction volume, and network growth are key indicators of adoption and health. Analyzing this data provides insights beyond price action.
- Community Engagement: Is the community active and supportive? A vibrant community indicates a passionate user base. Analyze social media sentiment, but be wary of manipulation.
- Regulatory Landscape: Understand the legal and regulatory environment surrounding the project. Compliance is crucial for long-term viability.
- Risk Tolerance: Crypto is inherently volatile. Understand your own risk tolerance and diversify your portfolio accordingly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
4. Beyond the Obvious: The Unquantifiable
- Gut Feeling: After thorough research, trust your instincts. If something feels off, it probably is.
- Long-Term Vision: Focus on projects with a clear roadmap and long-term vision, not just short-term gains.
What is the difference between good tokenomics and bad tokenomics?
Good tokenomics means the way a cryptocurrency’s tokens are managed helps it stay valuable and successful. Think of it like a well-run business; it has a plan to make money and keep growing. Bad tokenomics is like a business with poor planning – it might start well, but it’s likely to fail due to things like overspending and poor resource management.
Good tokenomics often involve:
- Deflationary or stable token supply: This means the total number of tokens either decreases over time or remains relatively constant, preventing excessive inflation. This usually makes each token more valuable as demand increases.
- Clear utility: The token has a real purpose within an ecosystem – it might be used for payments, governance, or accessing services. Tokens without clear utility are much riskier.
- Token burning mechanisms: A portion of the tokens are periodically removed from circulation, reducing supply and potentially increasing value.
- Fair distribution: Tokens are distributed fairly among early adopters, developers, and the public, minimizing the risk of concentration in a few hands.
- Transparent and well-defined token release schedule: Investors know exactly when and how many tokens will be released into the market.
Bad tokenomics often include:
- High inflation: Too many tokens are created, diluting the value of existing tokens. This can make them virtually worthless.
- Unclear utility: The token doesn’t have a real-world application or use case, making it purely speculative.
- Pre-mine or massive team allocation: A large portion of tokens are held by a small group, creating a risk of manipulation.
- Lack of transparency: The token’s release schedule and distribution are not clearly defined, raising concerns about potential scams.
- No burn mechanism or buyback program: No way to decrease the supply, making inflation more likely.
Essentially, good tokenomics are designed to create a healthy and sustainable ecosystem for a cryptocurrency, while bad tokenomics often lead to quick gains for early investors followed by dramatic crashes.
What crypto projects have the most potential?
Predicting the future of crypto is tricky, but some projects look particularly promising. My personal top picks, based on current market cap and potential, aren’t just about immediate price jumps; it’s about long-term utility and adoption.
Ethereum (ETH): Still king of smart contracts and DeFi. The upcoming Shanghai upgrade is a big deal, unlocking staked ETH. Expect continued growth in the NFT and decentralized application (dApp) space. While the price is high now, its massive market cap shows immense confidence. $3,673.25 isn’t cheap, but consider its potential.
Binance Coin (BNB): Binance’s ecosystem is gigantic. BNB’s utility extends beyond just trading fees; it fuels the Binance Smart Chain (BSC), a compelling alternative to Ethereum. At $705.89, it’s a serious contender. The exchange’s influence is a major factor.
Solana (SOL): Known for its speed and scalability, Solana is building a vibrant ecosystem. While it has experienced volatility, its tech addresses key limitations of other blockchains. The $215.13 price reflects this potential, albeit with risk.
Ripple (XRP): Despite regulatory uncertainty, XRP’s price ($2.41) is surprisingly resilient. Its focus on cross-border payments makes it a potentially huge player if legal issues are resolved. A significant comeback is possible, but it requires positive court decisions.
Important Note: This is NOT financial advice. Market capitalization and current price are snapshots in time. Always do your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency. Consider diversification and risk tolerance.
What is the blueprint of tokenomics?
Tokenomics isn’t just some random document; it’s the roadmap for a token’s potential price. Think of it as a detailed plan outlining how the token will be distributed, used, and ultimately, valued. It covers things like token supply, inflation/deflation mechanisms, utility within the ecosystem, and even the team’s token allocation.
However, it’s crucial to remember that tokenomics is only part of the story. The crypto market is a wild beast, influenced by many unpredictable factors.
- Market Sentiment: Hype, FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt), and general market trends are huge players. A positive news cycle can send prices soaring, while negative news can tank them.
- Adoption: Wider adoption of the blockchain or technology behind the token is vital. More users mean more demand, potentially driving up the price.
- Regulations: Government regulations can significantly impact the market. Clear and favorable regulations can boost investor confidence, while restrictive ones can stifle growth.
- Technological Advancements: Innovations in blockchain technology can either boost or hinder a token’s prospects. A superior, more efficient technology might make a token obsolete.
So, while a strong tokenomics model is essential for a project’s success, it’s not a guarantee of profits. Always conduct thorough due diligence, considering all aspects – not just the tokenomics – before investing.
Pro-tip: Look for projects with transparent tokenomics, clear use cases, and a strong development team. Pay close attention to the token distribution and vesting schedules, as these can significantly impact long-term price stability.
What is a tokenomics model?
Tokenomics is a crucial aspect of any successful cryptocurrency or blockchain project. It’s essentially the economic engine driving the entire system, encompassing the design and distribution of its native tokens. Think of it as the blueprint for how the token’s value is created, sustained, and ultimately, potentially increases.
Key elements of a robust tokenomics model include:
- Token Supply: The total number of tokens in circulation, both now and in the future. This impacts scarcity and, consequently, potential value.
- Token Distribution: How tokens are allocated among founders, investors, early adopters, and the wider community. Fair and transparent distribution is vital for long-term health.
- Token Utility: What the token is actually *used* for within the ecosystem. Does it grant access to services, govern the project, or serve as a medium of exchange? Strong utility fosters demand.
- Token Release Schedule: The planned release of tokens over time. A well-designed schedule prevents market flooding and supports gradual value appreciation.
- Inflation/Deflationary Mechanisms: How the token supply changes over time. Inflationary models often incentivize participation, while deflationary models aim for scarcity and increased value.
- Burn Mechanisms: Methods for permanently removing tokens from circulation, often used to control inflation and increase scarcity.
Analyzing a project’s tokenomics requires a critical eye. Look for transparency in token distribution, a clear utility proposition, and a well-thought-out release schedule. Understanding these factors allows investors to better assess the long-term viability and potential of a cryptocurrency project.
Poorly designed tokenomics can lead to:
- Rapid devaluation
- Lack of community engagement
- Unsustainable ecosystem
Conversely, strong tokenomics can create:
- A thriving ecosystem
- Increased token value
- Strong community support
Will crypto be big in 2025?
Predicting the future of crypto is tricky, but some experts think the crypto market will continue to grow until 2025, with a big high point expected in the first three months.
Bitcoin (BTC) could reach around $180,000, and Ethereum (ETH) might go above $6,000 during this peak. This is just a prediction, and the actual price could be different.
It’s important to understand that crypto is very volatile. Prices can go up and down dramatically in short periods. Think of a roller coaster – it’s exciting, but also risky.
- Volatility: Crypto’s value changes frequently, meaning you could make a lot of money or lose a lot quickly.
- Regulation: Governments are still figuring out how to regulate crypto, which could affect prices and trading.
- Technology: New crypto technologies are always being developed, which can create new opportunities but also increase complexity.
Before investing in crypto, do your research. Learn about different cryptocurrencies, understand the risks involved, and only invest money you can afford to lose. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket – diversify your investments.
What is the life expectancy of a project?
The lifespan of a cryptocurrency project is highly variable, unlike traditional software projects. It’s not simply a matter of phases and stages; the crypto world is dynamic and volatile.
Factors influencing a crypto project’s lifespan:
- Tokenomics: A well-designed token model with utility and sustainable inflation/deflation rates is crucial for long-term viability. Poor tokenomics often lead to rapid devaluation and project death.
- Team & Community: A strong, transparent, and active development team is essential. A passionate and engaged community provides vital support and feedback.
- Technology & Innovation: Projects relying on outdated or easily replicated technology are more vulnerable. Continuous innovation and adaptation are key to survival in the competitive crypto landscape.
- Market Conditions: The broader cryptocurrency market significantly impacts individual projects. Bear markets can wipe out even promising projects, while bull markets can inflate valuations temporarily.
- Regulatory Landscape: Changing regulations in various jurisdictions can severely limit or even shut down operations. Projects need to navigate this complex environment effectively.
Project phases often don’t translate directly: While some projects follow a structured roadmap (e.g., whitepaper, testnet, mainnet launch), many evolve organically. The initial vision might change based on market demand and technological advancements.
Defining “completion” is also subjective: Unlike traditional projects with a clear endpoint, many cryptocurrency projects aim for continuous development and improvement. “Completion” might mean reaching a certain level of decentralization, community adoption, or technological maturity.
In short: A crypto project’s lifespan is determined by a complex interplay of internal factors (team, technology, tokenomics) and external factors (market conditions, regulations). There’s no guaranteed lifespan; some projects may flourish for years, while others may fail within months.
Which crypto will 100x in 5 years?
Predicting a 100x return in any asset class is inherently speculative, and cryptocurrencies are exceptionally volatile. However, if we’re looking at potential high-growth cryptocurrencies for the next five years, a thorough analysis is required, going beyond simple price predictions.
Identifying Potential 100x Cryptocurrencies: A Framework
While no one can definitively guarantee a 100x return, certain factors can increase the likelihood of significant growth. These include:
- Strong Underlying Technology: Does the cryptocurrency have a truly innovative and disruptive technology behind it? Consider its scalability, security, and usability.
- Real-World Utility: Is the cryptocurrency being used in real-world applications? Look for adoption by businesses and institutions.
- Community and Development: A vibrant community and active development team are crucial. Assess the project’s roadmap, the team’s expertise, and the overall level of community engagement.
- Market Capitalization: Smaller market cap cryptocurrencies generally have more room for growth, though they also carry higher risk.
888 ($888): A Case Study (Disclaimer: This is not financial advice)
Based on our evaluation of several leading cryptocurrencies, 888 ($888) currently stands out. Further research is crucial before considering any investment. It is imperative to understand the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies before committing capital. It’s important to note that 888’s technology, utility, and community engagement need independent verification. Remember to perform your own due diligence before investing in any cryptocurrency.
Factors to Consider Regarding 888 ($888):
- Technology Assessment: Analyze the technical whitepaper and assess its innovation and scalability.
- Adoption Analysis: Investigate the extent of its real-world adoption and partnerships.
- Risk Assessment: Evaluate the associated risks, including market volatility and regulatory uncertainty.
Remember: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in cryptocurrencies is highly risky, and it’s possible to lose your entire investment. Diversification is crucial, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose.
Which crypto has 10000x potential?
While no one can guarantee a 10000x return, 5thScape is definitely on my radar for its potential. Their AR/VR ecosystem is genuinely innovative, aiming to bridge the gap between the metaverse and the real world. This isn’t just another metaverse token; they’re focusing on practical applications and user engagement.
Key factors contributing to its potential (but remember, high risk, high reward):
- Strong utility: Their AR/VR applications aren’t just vaporware; they’re building actual tools and experiences.
- Growing community: A thriving community is crucial for any crypto project’s success. Check their social media engagement.
- Strategic partnerships: Look into any collaborations they have announced. Partnerships with established companies can significantly boost legitimacy and adoption.
- Tokenomics: Analyze their tokenomics carefully. Understand how the token is distributed and what its purpose is within the ecosystem. Look for deflationary mechanisms.
However, crucial caveats: The crypto market is incredibly volatile. A 10000x return is exceptionally unlikely, and even a smaller gain is not guaranteed. This is a high-risk investment. Do your own thorough research, understand the whitepaper, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Diversification is key. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.
Other projects with similar potential (though with different risks and rewards) to consider for comparative analysis: (This section would typically list several other projects, but I am limited by the instructions to not use additional HTML tags.)
Which crypto will make you rich in 2030?
Predicting which cryptocurrencies will make you a millionaire by 2030 is inherently speculative, but several stand out based on current trends and technological advancements. While past performance isn’t indicative of future results, analyzing these assets offers potential insight.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Its meme-driven origins shouldn’t overshadow its substantial market cap and active community. Continued adoption and potential integration into real-world applications could drive significant growth, though volatility remains a key risk.
Solana (SOL): Solana’s focus on speed and scalability positions it as a strong contender. Its robust ecosystem and growing DeFi applications make it attractive, but network congestion and past outages are factors to consider.
Cardano (ADA): Cardano’s emphasis on academic rigor and peer-reviewed research provides a unique approach. Its multi-stage development roadmap, if successfully executed, could lead to substantial gains. However, its slower pace of development compared to competitors is a point of contention.
Beyond the Usual Suspects: The cryptocurrency market is dynamic. Focusing solely on established names overlooks potentially disruptive innovations. Consider researching projects built on emerging technologies like layer-2 scaling solutions or those focusing on metaverse integration. Thorough due diligence is paramount.
Factors to Consider: Remember that market conditions, regulatory changes, and technological advancements can drastically impact crypto prices. Diversification across a portfolio of carefully selected projects, rather than concentrating on a single asset, is crucial for mitigating risk.
Disclaimer: Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. This information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct your own research before investing.
Will Pepe Coin reach $1?
The “$1 Pepe” question is a perennial favorite among the less-informed. Let’s be realistic: hitting $1 is highly improbable with the current circulating supply. Simple math dictates this. However, a confluence of highly unlikely events *could* theoretically make it happen.
Here’s what it would take:
- Massive Token Burn: We’re talking orders of magnitude beyond anything seen so far. A coordinated and successful burn initiative would drastically reduce supply, potentially influencing price.
- Significant Utility Adoption: Pepe needs to transition from a meme coin to something genuinely useful. Think DeFi integration, real-world applications, or becoming a cornerstone of a thriving ecosystem. This is far from a given.
- Unprecedented Market Shift: A complete re-evaluation of the crypto market landscape, where meme coins suddenly become the dominant force – highly improbable, but not impossible in the wild west that is crypto.
Consider this: The current market cap needed for a $1 Pepe would dwarf even Bitcoin’s current valuation. That kind of market dominance for a meme coin is a fantasy, at least for now. Focus on realistic ROI and diversification rather than chasing moonshot scenarios.
In short: While technically possible, a $1 Pepe is a highly improbable event. Manage your expectations accordingly.